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Wainwright's Missed Cy Young

by: Brian F. Logush


I am pretty much resigning myself to the fact that Adam Wainwright will not be the recipient of the 2009 NL Cy Young. Not that he doesn't deserve it. Don't get me wrong. But I don't see it logistically happening.

Here's what he has going for him:
- NL-leading 18 wins
- WHIP of 1.21
- ERA of 2.59
- 212.0 IP

Here's what he has going against him:
- 8 losses
- 1 CG
- 183 Ks (5th in NL)
- He's not named Chris Carpenter or Tim Linsecum

I admit it. I love Adam Wainwright. Whenever he takes the mound, I feel like a win is all but locked up. But when it is time to cast a vote, two main stats are losses and strikeouts.

But the losses are not Waino's fault. Poor run support and bullpen trouble gave him, at most, 7 extra losses. Think about that. Let's say he gets wins in three of those starts. He is 21-4. At that point, there is no question as to who is walking away with the hardware. But where am I getting these numbers?

-May 16: 1-0 loss in 8 innings of 2-hit ball. Poor run support gives him a loss. For the sake of argument, I'm giving him a ND. He is 3-1 on the year.
- June 5: 11-4 loss in 6 IP. In his six innings, Adam gives up three runs. He leaves down 2-1. In the seventh, the Rockies score nine. In their frame, the Cardinals score two. Had the bullpen not imploded, he gets a ND. A 5-2 record.
- July 1: 2-1 in a ND. He pitched 9 innings. And got a ND. Seriously? Any extra run, be it by error or earned gives him a victory. At this point, he is 9-3.
- August 2: 2-0 loss in 7 IP. Again, a lack of offense against a weak Astros team (their pitcher was Bud Norris, in case you were wondering. Who? Exactly) costs him what should have been a victory. Record: 14-4.
- September 14: 2-1 loss in 7 IP. Wainwright made one mistake, the home run to Uggla, and it cost him. The Marlins threw Sean West out there. No big deal. But West is s soft-tossing lefty. Game over. If the team could hit a lefty, Wainwright picks up a victory, despite the homer. He is
now 21-4 on the year.

Talk about Linsecum's 244 strikeouts to go along with this 2.30 ERA. Drool over Carpenter's 16-4 record. But you can't argue with 21-4. How could you? In 2005, the CY Young went to a guy named Chris Carpenter. His record? 21-5. Wainwright could beat that with at least 2 more starts.

Oh, what could have been for Adam Wainwright.

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